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Category Archives: Anatomy

Ilmar Raag: Anatomy of the coronavirus adaptation – ERR News

Studies conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic have provided an interesting picture of the dynamics of public attitudes.

This all fits perfectly with Abraham Lincoln's famous maxim from over 150 years ago: "Youcanfool allthepeoplesome of thetime, and some of thepeople allthetime, butyoucannotfool allthepeople allthetime."

Let's leave aside the word "fool" here, and just talk about the impact of communication.

In the most general terms, the claim that people's immediate environment has a greater impact on their behavior than any form of communication, including propaganda, has been reaffirmed.

Principle of instant gratification

It is the principle of "instant gratification" that needed to be drawn from psychology when describing the changes in people during the COVID-19 emergency situation.

Following this, people primarily strive for decisions which provide them with an immediate, satisfying solution.This principle does not in general reveal people's wisdom and analytical ability, but it is a reality which must be taken into account nonetheless.

For example, when I'm in a bad mood, I buy some chocolate with this little treat, life quickly seems more beautiful.In the world of advertising, we can see the exploitation of this human feature in the commercials for fast loans, which always promise you money as soon as you require it.

Similarly, miracle cures are advertised, which claim you can lose ten or twenty pounds of weight in a miraculously short time.At the same time, people's behavior is not only driven by immediate pleasure and enjoyment, but also by, for instance, immediate fear.

In the first phase of the emergency, we saw how society embraced a fear through the information about COVID19.Don't get me wrong, I don't think anyone actually consciously wanted to fool people over the dangers the coronavirus presented.Rather than that, this was a scientific modeling of the spread of the virus under certain conditions.

The nation's crisis communications, plus most of the media, took this warning very seriously.The outcome was an atmosphere of anxiety which was extremely widespread through society.

In the second week of the emergency, 91 percent of the Estonian populace considered the situation serious.Fifty-eight percent of people wanted the restrictions put in place to be tightened.At the same time, only 4 percent of respondents were in favor of easing them.

At that point, we actually had experienced only a few deaths related to COVID-19.

What followed reflects the paradox of this type of pandemic.As the restrictions as imposed certainly had had their effect, as a result, the public could not directly perceive the significance of the threat.

Considering the number of people infected in Estonia, less than one percent of the population were people who had had direct contact with a sick, or even dead, relative.

This means that the willingness to comply with the restrictions was based primarily on communication and social agreement.This is the communication effect, par excellence.

Unfortunately, this effect is typically short-term that may have significant drawback later. For example in politics, election campaigns are mostly designed for the short term effects in order to make people to vote for the right candidate.

In the case of Estonia, the pandemic risk assessment warned us, for example, that our healthcare resources could collapse, and hospitals would become overloaded. And we expected that.

However, the developments seen in Italy, or New York, did not reach us.Only on Saaremaa did the feeling of a more serious crisis arise.One can only imagine what the dynamics of public opinion would have been had the epicenter of the virus had been located in Tallinn, instead of Saaremaa.But did not set in.

Instead, the economic situation provided the signals of the immediate effects. A fall in income actually affected a far larger proportion of people than the virus.Likewise, the inconvenience of the restrictions affected almost everyone.

As a result, an information conflict emerged, where emergency policy and crisis communication were primarily aimed at the threat of the virus, but the immediate reality facing the people gave off other signals.

Studies have shown that even when people did consent to the emergency measures during the first weeks of emergency, then quietly, almost subconsciously, different details of real life began to come to the fore.

By the fifth week of the emergency, the proportion of anxious citizens who wanted to tighten restrictions further had fallen to a fifth of the earlier figure.

They now made up less than ten percent of the population.At the same time, supporters for relief from restrictions rose to make up a quarter of the population (from 4 percent to 24 percent.) And this all happened without any communication campaign.

Confirmation of self-deception

At the same time, another phenomenon known in psychology - confirmationbias - deepened within the public information space.

Confirmation bias is a process whereby we begin to interpret signals from the outside world in accordance with our hopes and expectations.

I myself saw several references on social media to serious research articles, which was interpreted in opposing directions by different communities holding different attitudes in Estonia.

Let us just remember the "dance of the masks" and their usefulness, which could only have arisen as the anxiety background of the first weeks of the emergency had receded.

A large number of video stories were also shared on social media, in which "dignified" people reveal a look behind the curtain of the pandemic organizers.

Most of these stories could be refuted by any student who has studied the scientific methods of research for at least one semester, but all of this no longer had any meaning.

The cognitive dissonance created by the self-flowing path between official threat stories and people's immediate experience began to determine the change in attitudes.

Conclusions

It came as no surprise that when the emergency ended, it was immediately met with public approval.What conclusions can we draw from this?

1. Regardless of what the health experts think about potential developments, public opinion research demonstrates that the attitudes of more than half of Estonians have entered the next phase, where the impact of the virus is not assessed as being very high on a personal scale.Perhaps this backdrop of fear has fallen in vain, but it is still a reality emerging from research.

2. During the emergency, it was proven that crisis communication can achieve an information effect which lasts for a maximum of one month.However, for longer-term effects, at least some sections of the populace should receive direct feedback on the significance of the threat.In some ways, this is good news, because it suggests that no propaganda which does not rely on the real human environment can have any lasting effect.

3. If people in a democracy are guided by other people's attitudes, then in the next wave of the virus, society will probably no longer accept the same restrictions via any kind of communication.This puts much more difficult decisions on the shoulders of governments of the future. Instead, the likely solution is to take a higher level of risk, leading to a final phase in which COVID-19 no longer scares people any more than smoking-induced lung cancer does.

The original Vikerraadio broadcast where Ilmar Raag made his comments (in Estonian) is here.

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‘The Vast of Night’ | Anatomy of a Scene’The Vast of Night’ | Anatomy of a Scene – The New York Times

Im Andrew Patterson, and Im the director of The Vast of Night. So the actress here is Sierra McCormick, and shes playing Fay, who is all by herself with the 500 members of her town all at a basketball game. So the movie is set in November of 1958, and the setting is in a fictional town of Cayuga, New Mexico. [STRANGE SOUND] And the first thing that happens in this scene is you hear a very new sound. We wanted the sound in particular to be new in cinema. And so we worked pretty hard at mixing a number of elements together, and then Fay responds to it in a way that initially is it frames it as a viewer. Like you see that she doesnt understand it, and even though shes not threatened by it, she certainly starts taking immediate action. Hello? Hello? Hello? Listen, maam, can you disconnect and then try again? Its all calling, and its a strange, large object holding over my land off and on, like a tornado. Please send the police. Maam, is this an emergency? All of that frames your relationship to the sound. All of that kind of creates a tension that is a setup in this scene. And hopefully as a viewer youre looking for the resolution just like Fay, the switchboard operator, is. And what we were aiming to do was, in her performance, not go to the extreme that you would probably expect in this scene from if you were watching a horror film or you were watching a different kind of genre. We wanted her to be very grounded and continue to be the stand-in for the viewer. And we worked on that by heavily rehearsing her performance. This is actually the scene Sierra chose to audition with. And from the time that she auditioned with it to the night when we got this shot, we pulled it way, way, way back because we knew that the film itself, we didnt want to steal away the magic of where the film was going to go by having a large performance here. On set, there is no sound being played. The sound was a year away from being created at that point. And so shes just playing to an AD reading lines very dryly in the room but not necessarily in a way that you can play off of as an actor. So it truly was both the sound and the people on the other end of the line were yet to be cast and yet to be created. So theres no Sierra had to very much do this on her own, reading against someone that has no training in acting. went away. I just wanted to see if it Just call Everett Well, I dont want to disturb I think the only thing I told her as a director was this is something that is entrancing. Its mesmerizing. Its not scary. Its not threatening. And if anything, its the thing thats going to take you down the rabbit hole. [STRANGE SOUND]

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'The Vast of Night' | Anatomy of a Scene'The Vast of Night' | Anatomy of a Scene - The New York Times

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Q&A: Anatomy of the perfect team in a modernized IT environment (Includes interview) – Digital Journal

Legacy systems hold mission critical workloads and information, but in many cases, organizations do not have a single person who is trained to run these processes on their legacy systems when aging tech talent retires. This is creating a daunting skills gap. According to Brandon Edenfield, for a business to be successful, its vital they implement a strategy that leverages and protects past IT investments while maintaining the valuable skills and expertise related to areas like COBOL as employees retire from their current roles.Modern Systems' Edenfield explains more to Digital Journal.Digital Journal: What does DevOps bring to a business?Brandon Edenfield: DevOps is a discipline that integrates development and operations teams and duties to develop software. It allows companies to create enhance and deliver products at a faster pace than with traditional software development approaches. Ultimately, successful DevOps adoption leads to shorter development cycles, increased efficiencies andfaster innovation. It is also often a desired target state for mainframe modernization efforts, since most mainframe development is implemented through siloed, waterfall methods. The combination of a modernized legacy system with the agility and efficiency of DevOps brings added, exceptional value to legacy modernization projects.DJ: How can a successful DevOps team be assembled?Edenfield: In most cases, legacy system development cycles are measured in months, but in a DevOps environment, they can be measured in weeks or even days. Developing mentorships and cross-training programs are key for successful DevOps implementation across newly modernized legacy systems. The key though is to find ways to cross-pollinate old school and new-skill knowledge. Most resources who hold the legacy positions typically also have historical business SME knowledge from the many years theyve maintained the application. It can therefore create a powerful mix to have these employees apply that insight to new technologies alongside resources who also understand the newer tech. In the same vein, staff members who are familiar with DevOps, the company's CI/CD pipeline and standards for release cycles can bring the "legacy" resources up-to-speed on DevOps concepts, broadening the available resource pool for developing against the modern environment. DJ: How can a firm implement cross-functional training and enable legacy staff members to implement business knowledge in new technologies and staff?Edenfield:The key is to focus on area of expertise, repeatability andscalability. First, establish a central repository for information sharing. Many companies use products like Confluence or SharePoint to make knowledge accessible on the fly. Next, recruit subject matter experts from within the disciplines that pertain to the legacy system's lifecycle, as well as experts familiar with the new DevOps lifecycle. Interview these individuals and establish a punch-list of training items that each should cover within the broader context of the DevOps adoption initiative. Use situationally appropriate media such as video for screen shares and white-boarding or Wiki-style entries for documentation. Finally, establish a track for staffers to follow based on their role and the goals they're looking to accomplish while maintaining open communication across functional groups throughout the process. As resources iterate through tracks, continue to polish and formalize the process to maximize scalability and effectiveness.DJ: What is the value of formalized mentoring and job-sharing programs?Edenfield:Mentoring and job-sharing programs will enable the cross-pollination of old school knowledge and new skills in a scalable, repeatable way. By formalizing this process, your organization can ensure broad adherence to best practices and the overarching strategy and processes involved in the DevOps culture you wish to instill. It also eases the burden of onboarding and scaling resources as demand increases. And mentoring and job-sharing programs broaden the skillsets of everyone on the team, reducing the risk of contingencies and unforeseen demand.DJ: How else can firms best preserve specialized corporate knowledge?Edenfield:Legacy systems are a snapshot of the evolutionary posture of business processes and systems. They are honed over decades to meet the demands of the business and vary widely between organizations. In most cases, modernization efforts seek to retain as much of that evolved process as possible. Regardless, the process of modernization does introduce change, and we recommend source code archiving, business rules definition (through code slicing and extraction), and data archiving tools and practices to retain a record of the legacy system once it's retired. These tools preserve the legacy estate in its original form while extending navigation and documentation capabilities that can be utilized by a variety of business resources. Many firms take the extra step of housing the extracted business processes and any thought leadership or relevant folklore that may provide context to the concepts driving their existence and format in a Wiki-style repository, such as Confluence.DJ: What are the key criteria to look for when choosing a vendor to aid maintaining and monitoring application health, performance and overall business value?Edenfield:Requirements and underlying criteria vary broadly across companies, even divisions and teams. First, it's important to determine the expected division of labor between internal resources and outsource monitoring or management expectations. Next, executive and subject matter expert buy-in is key. Reviewing the proposed division of labor with key resources will vet inherent constraints that must be verbalized to a managed services provider prior to executing an agreement. Finally, and most importantly, it is important to document the components and variables that should be monitored and determine thresholds for each. For example, one company may want to be alerted if a batch job exceeds a certain clock time. Another may want to have visibility into network utilization. Both can be provided by managed services providers through monitoring, but each carries its own unique criteria and constraints, and the best services provider may be different for each.Overall, a post-modernization application management service can help ensure your modernization effort is properly set up for long-term success. The service should include 247 monitoring and support of both the application and infrastructure, with a focus on verifying availability and performance of the business logic and processes. This service could include the following:Monitoring application health and connections to related applicationsContinuously collect health and performance metrics from application components and organize them in real-timePresenting an animated display of the applications current state and enable customer IT teams to focus on extending business value of modernized applicationsBeing available via on-premise, virtual or cloud-based infrastructure, increasing service levelsDelivery of a predictable OPEX support modelDJ: How can firms take advantage of, and benefit from, vendor/partner trainings and certifications?Edenfield:Vendor certifications and trainings can benefit organizations in a number of ways, but the primary impacts are maximizing the capabilities of the company's resources while optimizing the use of vendor tools and services, and communicating to prospects and customers that your firm's expertise in vendor-specific disciplines can be quantified. Choose a subject matter expert to engage with certifications and trainings for a given vendor who can then elucidate values and propose certification tracks and paths that are most relevant to the function of the team and resources within. When investing in organization-wide certifications, be sure to choose vendors whose ethos and goals align closely to yours and your customers' in order to maximize the impact of the spend both monetarily and in time and effort.

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The Economic Impact of Coronavirus on Eye Anatomical Mode Market Growth and Forecast 2019-2026 – 3rd Watch News

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Shoulder Anatomical Model Market Research Report 2020: Key Players, Applications, Drivers, Trends and Forecast to 2026 – News Distinct

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Shoulder Anatomical Model Market Research Report 2020: Key Players, Applications, Drivers, Trends and Forecast to 2026 - News Distinct

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Anatomy of a Classic Goal: James Rodriguez and the perfect volley – theScore

As we await the full return of world football, we're taking this opportunity to look back on some of the most memorable goals ever scored. Going frame by frame, we'll dissect how, exactly, these epic moments came to fruition.

Other classic goals: Ronaldo | Van Persie | Bergkamp | Aguero | Messi

It feels like an eternity ago now, but in the summer of 2014, burgeoning superstar James Rodriguez was the hottest commodity in world football. Young and handsome, supremely talented, and spearheading a fun, charming Colombia team, the then-22-year-old attacking midfielder was the belle of the ball at the World Cup in Brazil.

He captured the Golden Boot as the tournament's top scorer - despite playing fewer than 400 minutes as his country bowed out to the host nation in the quarterfinals - ultimately finding the net six times in just five games.

Of his sextet of goals, none left a mark on the competition quite like his gorgeous volley against Uruguay in the last-16. It was so spectacular that it's easy to forget Rodriguez also scored the other goal in Colombia's 2-0 win at the iconic Maracana in Rio de Janeiro. Nobody remembers that second one, though. His opener, a perfect volley from 25 yards out that was eventually named the best goal of the tournament, was that damn special.

Here's the breathtaking tally in all its glory:

Let's examine how Rodriguez was able to deliver a goal that was eventually bestowed with the 2014 Puskas Award.

As you can see in the opening seconds of the video above, the sequence begins with Juan Cuadrado and Abel Aguilar briefly playing hot potato with the ball while Rodriguez scurries back and forth, desperately trying to make himself available to receive the ball from either of his two compatriots.

The passing lane appears to open and close multiple times before Aguilar finally makes the decision to try and clip the ball into his teammate. When he does, Uruguay's Cristian Rodriguez - naturally a winger but deployed in this match as part of manager Oscar Tabarez's three-man midfield - has just about recovered to get alongside his Colombian namesake.

Uruguay were nominally lined up in a 4-4-2 formation with Rodriguez in his more natural wide position, but when they lost the ball, the system morphed into a 5-3-2, and the winger tucked inside to offer additional support in the central area. That's great, except when he's tasked with keeping tabs on the tournament's most in-form player.

Rodriguez - the Uruguayan one - looks over his shoulder a couple times but is ultimately too focused on the ball and loses track of his Colombian counterpart, who drifts behind him into a pocket of space that's developed between the Uruguayan midfielders and defenders.

Note how the three midfielders - Alvaro Gonzalez (1), Arevalo Rios (2), and Rodriguez (3) - are practically in a straight line; that makes it exceedingly simple for Aguilar to eliminate all three of them from the play with one pass, and for our eventual goalscorer to evade their clutches with some relatively pedestrian movement.

When Aguilar does indeed decide to go for the pass, Rodriguez has planted himself in a dangerous position where, were he to receive the ball right away, he'd have plenty of time to either take a touch and shoot or look to tee up one of the two Colombian strikers.

In fairness to the Uruguayan midfield contingent - we have to at least give them some credit - they do force Aguilar to go for a difficult aerial ball, cutting off the passing lanes on the ground.

It's also important to note that Cristian Rodriguez, who's listed as standing roughly 5-foot-8, comes within inches of getting his head onto Aguilar's pass. If he even gets the slightest deflection and sends the ball careening into another direction, we're almost certainly not sitting here looking back on one of the most aesthetically pleasing goals in World Cup history.

He isn't able to change the trajectory of the pass - it just evades his head. Aguilar's ball floats beyond his intended target, though - it sails past James Rodriguez - and is cleared away by the diving figure of left-back Alvaro Pereira. The Uruguayan defender, a stalwart of Tabarez's World Cup sides, nips in front of Colombian striker Jackson Martinez to clear the danger.

Momentarily, at least.

That Pereira ends up on the ground in order to make the clearance becomes vital in about two seconds ...

Pereira's header drops directly onto the cranium of Aguilar - the ball seemed to follow him around throughout this entire sequence - and instead of trying to bring it down and control it, he quickly prods it forward, looking again to find Rodriguez, who is still in that pocket of space outlined earlier.

For a variety of reasons, none of the Uruguayan contingent on the scene - outside of Diego Godin, who we'll get to shortly - is well-placed to react when Aguilar pokes the ball to his teammate.

That really leaves just Godin, the captain and ever-present defensive rock that Uruguay was long built around, to respond when Rodriguez finally does take the ball down on his chest.

It's quite literally a split-second decision, but Godin hesitates ever so briefly while charging out to confront the Colombian No. 10. It's so subtle that it's difficult to pick it up in the clip, but he rushes out, comes to a split-second stop, and then takes another step forward before Rodriguez turns his hips and uncorks a sublime volley.

Would Godin have gotten close enough to block the shot had he rushed out, full steam ahead, and not paused momentarily?

Conventional wisdom says he did everything right. Defenders have long been instructed to close down an attacker's time and space quickly; you want to get close enough to potentially put in a tackle or react to a move, but not too close to the point where the attacker can remove you from the equation with a quick juke or feint. Essentially, you can't go charging in at full speed unless you want to get left in a heap.

But with Rodriguez having to take the ball on his chest and briefly wait for it to drop to his foot before making his next move, he was in an awkward enough spot that Godin might've been able to put those standard defensive principles aside and get just that little bit tighter.

Thankfully for neutral viewers everywhere, he didn't.

Now, back to that pocket of space. It's truly incredible that, with five opposing players essentially creating a bubble around him, Rodriguez was given time to cushion Aguilar's header, swivel, and unleash his ferocious shot.

The overhead angle provides the perfect illustration:

From there, Fernando Muslera in the Uruguayan goal never had a chance. That the ball crashed off the underside of the crossbar before springing back up off the turf and into the roof of the net only makes it that much sweeter.

In every possible way, it's the picturesque volley.

"Diego Maradona, Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez, James Rodriguez - they do things because they have certain gifts that make them special," Tabarez said after the match. "I believe he's the best player at the World Cup."

Sadly, Rodriguez's career has yet to reach similar heights. His spectacular World Cup showing earned him a mega-money move to Real Madrid just over a week after the tournament ended, but injuries, positional struggles, and a lack of playing time - which resulted in a two-year loan spell at Bayern Munich from 2017-19 - have scuppered his spell in the Spanish capital.

While it seems increasingly unlikely the 28-year-old will ever develop into the unstoppable force many tipped him to be, that shouldn't take anything away from the truly magical moment he delivered that day in Rio.

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