Search Immortality Topics:

Page 11234..1020..»


Category Archives: Machine Learning

AutoML Alleviates the Process of Machine Learning Analysis – Analytics Insight

Machine Learning (ML)is constantly being adopted by diverse organizations in an enthusiasm to acquire answers and analysis. As the embracing highly increases, it is often forgotten that machine learning has its flaws that need to be addressed for acquiring a perfect solution.

Applications of artificial intelligence andmachine learning are using new toolsto find practical answers to difficult problems. Companies move forward with the emerging technologies to get a competitive edge on their working style and system. Through the process, organizations are learning a very important lesson that one strategy doesnt fit for all.Business organizations want machine learningto do analysis on large data, which is complex and difficult. They neglect the fact that machine learning cant perform on diverse data storage and even if it does, it will conclude with a wrong prediction.

Analysing unstructured and overwhelming large datasets on machine learning is dangerous. Machine learning might conclude with a wrong solution while performing predictive analysis on such data. The implementation of the misconception in a companys working system might drag down its improvement. Many products that incorporatemachine learning capabilitiesuse predetermined algorithms and many diverse ways to handle data. However, each organizations data has different technical characteristics that might not go well with the existing machine learning configuration.

To address the problems where machine learning falls short, AutoML takes head-on in the companys data analysis perspective. AutoML takes over labour intensive job of choosing and tuning machine learning models. The new technology takes on many repetitive tasks where skilful problem definition and data preparation are needed. It reduces the need to understand algorithm parameters and shortening the compute time needed to produce better models.

Machine learning is an application of artificial intelligence that provides systems with the ability to automatically learn and improve from experience without being explicitly programmed. The technology focuses on the development of computer programs that can access data and use it for themselves. It is a model created and trained on a set of previously gathered data, often known as outcomes. The model can be used tomake predictions using that data.

However, machine learning cant get accurate results all the time. It depends on the data scientist handling the machine learning configurations and data inputs. A data scientist studies the input data and understands the desired output to solve business problems. They choose the apt mathematical algorithm from a dozen and tune those parameters called hyperparameters and evaluate the resulting models. The data scientist has the responsibility to adjust the algorithms tuning parameters again and again until the machine learning model produces the desired result. If the results are not tactic, then the data scientist might even start from the very beginning.

Machine learning system struggles to function when the data is too large or unorganised. Some of the other machine learning issues are,

Classification- The process of labeling data can be thought to as a discrimination problem, modeling the similarities between groups.

Regression- Machine learning staggers to predict the value of a new unpredicted data.

Clustering- Data can be divided into groups based on similarity and other measures of natural structure in data. But, human hands are needed to assign names to the groups.

As mentioned earlier, machine learning alone cant address the datasets of an organisation to find predictions. Here are some reasons why tuning a machine learning algorithm is challenging to choose and how AutoML can prove to be useful at such instances.

Choosing the right algorithm: It is not always obvious to choose a perfect algorithm that might work well for building real-value predictions, anomaly detection and classification models for a particular data set. Data scientists have to go through many well-known algorithms of machine learning that could suit the real-world situation. It could take weeks or even months to come up with the right algorithm.

Selecting relevant information: Data storage has diverse data variables or predictors. Henceforth, it is hard to tell which of those data points are significant for making a decision. This process of selecting relevant information to include in data models is called feature selection.

Training machine learning models: The most difficult process in machine learning is to choose a subset of data that can be used for training a machine learning model. In some cases, training against some data variables or predictors can increase training time while actually reducing the accuracy of the ML model.

Automated machine learning (AutoML)basically involves automating the end-to-end process of applying machine learning to real-world problems that are actually relevant in the industry.AutoML makes well-educated guessesto select a suitable ML algorithm and effective initial hyperparameters. The technology tests the accuracy of training the chosen algorithms with those parameters and makes tiny adjustments, and tests the results again. AutoML also automates the creation of small, accurate subsets of data to use for those iterative refinements, yielding excellent results in a fraction of the time.

In a nutshell, AutoML acts as a right tool that quickly chooses, builds and deploys machine learning models that deliver accurate results.

See the original post here:
AutoML Alleviates the Process of Machine Learning Analysis - Analytics Insight

Posted in Machine Learning | Comments Off on AutoML Alleviates the Process of Machine Learning Analysis – Analytics Insight

Synopsys and SiMa.ai Collaborate to Bring Machine Learning Inference at Scale to the Embedded Edge – AiThority

Engagement Leverages Synopsys DesignWare IP, Verification Continuum, and Fusion Design Solutions to Accelerate Development of SiMa.ai MLSoC Platform

Synopsys, Inc.announced its collaboration with SiMa.ai to bring its machine learning inference at scale to the embedded edge. Through this engagement, SiMa.ai has adopted key products from SynopsysDesignWare IP,Verification Continuum Platform, andFusion Design Platformfor the development of their MLSoC, a purpose-built machine-learning platform targeted at specialized computer vision applications, such as autonomous driving, surveillance, and robotics.

Recommended AI News: Medical Knowledge Group Continues Growth With Acquisiton Of Magnolia Innovation To Provide Expanded Services To Biopharmaceutical Industry

SiMa.ai selected Synopsys due to its expertise in functional safety, complete set of proven solutions and models, and silicon-proven IP portfolio that will help SiMa.ai deliver high-performance computing at the lowest power. With Synopsys automotive-grade solutions, SiMa.ai can accelerate their SoC-level ISO 26262 functional safety assessments and qualification while achieving their target ASILs.

Working closely with top-tier customers, we have developed a software-centric architecture that delivers high-performance machine learning at the lowest power. Our purpose-built, highly integrated MLSoC supports legacy compute along with industry-leading machine learning to deliver more than 30x better compute-power efficiency, compared to industry alternatives, said Krishna Rangasayee, founder and CEO, at SiMa.ai. We are delighted to collaborate with Synopsys towards our common goal to bring high-performance machine learning to the embedded edge. Leveraging Synopsys industry-leading portfolio of IP, verification, and design platforms enables us to reduce development risk and accelerate the design and verification process.

Recommended AI News: Building A Private Database-As-A-Service Is Emerging As A Prime Alternative To Managed Cloud Databases

We are pleased to support SiMa.ai as it brings MLSoC chip to market, saidManoj Gandhi, general manager of the Verification Group at Synopsys. Our collaboration aims to address SiMa.ais mission to enable customers to build low-power, high-performance machine learning solutions at the embedded edge across a diverse set of industries.

Since SiMa.ais inception it has strategically collaborated with Synopsys to support all aspects of their MLSoC architecture design and verification.

Recommended AI News: NEC Selects NXP RF Airfast Multi-Chip Modules For Massive MIMO 5G Antenna Radio Unit For Rakuten Mobile In Japan

View original post here:
Synopsys and SiMa.ai Collaborate to Bring Machine Learning Inference at Scale to the Embedded Edge - AiThority

Posted in Machine Learning | Comments Off on Synopsys and SiMa.ai Collaborate to Bring Machine Learning Inference at Scale to the Embedded Edge – AiThority

Lantronix Brings Advanced AI and Machine Learning to Smart Cameras With New Open-Q 610 SOM Based on the Powerful Qualcomm QCS610 System on Chip (SOC)…

IRVINE, Calif., Oct. 15, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Lantronix Inc. (NASDAQ: LTRX), a global provider of Software as a Service (SaaS), engineering services and hardware for Edge Computing, the Internet of Things (IoT) and Remote Environment Management (REM), today announced the availability of its new Lantronix Open-Q 610 SOM based on the powerful Qualcomm QCS610System on Chip (SOC). This micro System on Module (SOM) is designed for connected visual intelligence applications with high-resolution camera capabilities, on-device artificial intelligence (AI) processing and native Ethernet interface.

Our long and successful relationship with Qualcomm Technologies enables us to deliver powerful micro SOM solutions that can accelerate IoT design and implementation, empowering innovators to create IoT applications that go beyond hardware and enabletheir wildest dreams, said Paul Pickle, CEO of Lantronix.

The new Lantronix ultra-compact (50mm x 25mm), production-ready Open-Q 610 SOM is based on the powerful Qualcomm QCS610SOC, the latest in the Qualcomm Vision Intelligence Platform lineup targeting smart cameras with edge computing. Delivering up to 50 percent improved AI performance than the previous generation as well as image signal processing and sensor processing capabilities, it is designed to bring smart camera technology, including powerful artificial intelligence and machine learning features formerly only available to high-end devices, into mid-tier camera segments, including smart cities, commercial and enterprise, homes and vehicles.

Bringing Advanced AI and Machine Learning to Smart Camera Application

Created to bring advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities to smart cameras in multiple vertical markets, the Open-Q 610 SOM is designed for developers seeking to innovate new products utilizing the latest vision and AI edge capabilities, such as smart connected cameras, video conference systems, machine vision and robotics. With the Open-Q 610 SOM, developers gain a pre-tested, pre-certified, production-ready computing module that reduces risk and expedites innovative product development.

The Open-Q 610 SOM provides the core computing capabilities for:

Connectivity solutions include Wi-Fi/BT, Gigabit Ethernet, multiple USB ports and three-camera interfaces.

The Lantronix Open-Q 610 SOM provides advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities that enable developers to innovate new product designs, including smart connected cameras, video conference systems, machine vision and robotics, said Jonathan Shipman, VP of Strategy at Lantronix Inc. Lantronix micro SOMs and solutions enable IoT device makers to jumpstart new product development and accelerate time-to-market by shortening the design cycle, reducing development risk and simplifying the manufacturing process.

Open-Q 610 Development Kit

The companion Open-Q 610 Development Kit is a full-featured platform with available software tools, documentation and optional accessories. It delivers everything required to immediately begin evaluation and initial product development.

The development kit integrates the production-ready OpenQ 610 SOM with a carrier board, providing numerous expansion and connectivity options to support development and testing of peripherals and applications. The development kit, along with the available documentation, also provides a proven reference design for custom carrier boards, providing a low-risk fast track to market for new products.

In addition to production-ready SOMs, development platforms and tools, Lantronix offers turnkey product development services, driver and application software development and technical support.

For more information, visit Open-Q 610 SOM and Open Q 610 SOM Development kit.

About Lantronix

Lantronix Inc. is a global provider of software as a service (SaaS), engineering services and hardware for Edge Computing, the Internet of Things (IoT) and Remote Environment Management (REM). Lantronix enables its customers to provide reliable and secure solutions while accelerating their time to market. Lantronixs products and services dramatically simplify operations through the creation, development, deployment and management of customer projects at scale while providing quality, reliability and security.

Lantronixs portfolio of services and products address each layer of the IoT Stack, including Collect, Connect, Compute, Control and Comprehend, enabling its customers to deploy successful IoT and REM solutions. Lantronixs services and products deliver a holistic approach, addressing its customers needs by integrating a SaaS management platform with custom application development layered on top of external and embedded hardware, enabling intelligent edge computing, secure communications (wired, Wi-Fi and cellular), location and positional tracking and environmental sensing and reporting.

With three decades of proven experience in creating robust industry and customer-specific solutions, Lantronix is an innovator in enabling its customers to build new business models, leverage greater efficiencies and realize the possibilities of IoT and REM.Lantronixs solutions are deployed inside millions of machines at data centers, offices and remote sites serving a wide range of industries, including energy, agriculture, medical, security, manufacturing, distribution, transportation, retail, financial, environmental, infrastructure and government.

For more information, visit http://www.lantronix.com. Learn more at the Lantronix blog, http://www.lantronix.com/blog, featuring industry discussion and updates. To follow Lantronix on Twitter, please visit http://www.twitter.com/Lantronix. View our video library on YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/user/LantronixInc or connect with us on LinkedIn at http://www.linkedin.com/company/lantronix

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Any statements set forth in this news release that are not entirely historical and factual in nature, including without limitation statements related to our solutions, technologies and products as well as the advanced Lantronix Open-Q 610 SOM, are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and are subject to substantial risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results, future business, financial condition, or performance to differ materially from our historical results or those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement contained in this news release. The potential risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, such factors as the effects of negative or worsening regional and worldwide economic conditions or market instability on our business, including effects on purchasing decisions by our customers; the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on our employees, supply and distribution chains, and the global economy; cybersecurity risks; changes in applicable U.S. and foreign government laws, regulations, and tariffs; our ability to successfully implement our acquisitions strategy or integrate acquired companies; difficulties and costs of protecting patents and other proprietary rights; the level of our indebtedness, our ability to service our indebtedness and the restrictions in our debt agreements; and any additional factors included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2019, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC) on September 11, 2019, including in the section entitled Risk Factors in Item 1A of Part I of such report, as well as in our other public filings with the SEC. Additional risk factors may be identified from time to time in our future filings. The forward-looking statements included in this release speak only as of the date hereof, and we do not undertake any obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

Lantronix Media Contact:Gail Kathryn MillerCorporate Marketing &Communications Managermedia@lantronix.com949-453-7158

Lantronix Analyst and Investor Contact:Jeremy WhitakerChief Financial Officerinvestors@lantronix.com 949-450-7241

Lantronix Sales: sales@lantronix.comAmericas +1 (800) 422-7055 (US and Canada) or +1 949-453-3990Europe, Middle East and Africa +31 (0)76 52 36 744Asia Pacific + 852 3428-2338China + 86 21-6237-8868Japan +81 (0) 50-1354-6201India +91 994-551-2488

2020 Lantronix, Inc. All rights reserved. Lantronix is a registered trademark, and EMG, and SLC are trademarks of Lantronix Inc. Other trademarks and trade names are those of their respective owners.

Qualcomm is a trademark or registered trademark of Qualcomm Incorporated.

Qualcomm Vision Intelligence Platform and Qualcomm QCS610 are products of Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. and/or its subsidiaries.

Read the original here:
Lantronix Brings Advanced AI and Machine Learning to Smart Cameras With New Open-Q 610 SOM Based on the Powerful Qualcomm QCS610 System on Chip (SOC)...

Posted in Machine Learning | Comments Off on Lantronix Brings Advanced AI and Machine Learning to Smart Cameras With New Open-Q 610 SOM Based on the Powerful Qualcomm QCS610 System on Chip (SOC)…

AI and Machine Learning are Redefining Banking Industry – Analytics Insight

In the given unprecedented times, digital transformation is vital. One of the significant challenges is modernizing banks and legacy business systems without disrupting the existing system. However, artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have played a pivotal role in conducting hassle-and risk-free digital transformation. An artificial intelligence and machine learning-led approach to system modernization will enable businesses to associate with other fintech services into embracing modern demands and regulations while ensuring safety and enabling security.

In the banking industry, with the growing pressure in managing risk along with increasing governance and regulatory requirements, banks must improve their services towards more unique and better customer service. Fintech brands are increasingly applying AI and ML in a wide range of applications across several channels to leverage all the available client data to predict how customers requirements are evolving. And they are also speculating what services will prove beneficial for them, what type of fraudulent activity has the highest possibility to attack customers systems. Leveraging the power of AI and ML in banking is required along with data science acceleration to enhance customers portfolio offerings.

Here are some significant roles of Artificial intelligence and Machine Learning in banking and finance listed below:

One of the practical examples to showcase the benefits of machine learning could be described in it. While sanctioning loans to customers, banks had to rely on the clients history to comprehend that particular customers creditworthiness. However, the process was not always seamless and accurate, and banks had to face challenges in approving the loans at times. With the digital transformation, the machine learning algorithms analyzes the user better to process the loan further in a much convenient manner.

Banks are undoubtedly one of the most highly regulated institutions and observe strict government regulations in order to protect defaulting or prevent fishing financial crimes within their systems. This is one of the primary reasons for the banking processes to shift to all-digital in such a short span of time. It is essential to be aware of the risk before any suspicious activity has begun to mitigate fraudulent activity. During the traditional process, banks had to violate some pre-set protocols to prevent users from fraudulent activity. Advances in machine learning can sense suspicious activity even before the external threat violates the customers account. The underlying benefit from this is that machines are capable of performing high-level analysis in real-time, which is impossible for humans to perform manually.

Chatbots are one of AI-led software that clones human conversation. The technology imbibed in chatbots makes it convenient for banks to respond to customers questions faster. The chatbots are proven beneficial for financial institutions to serve users issues at a large scale in a matter of a few hours.

The ability to identify the users past behaviour and craft targeted campaigns is a boon for both customers and banks. Such customised campaign creates all the necessary information the client would require while making it and will save both time and energy. Todays customers also enjoy services that are customised as per their preferences and enhance their banking experience.

With the increase of fintech companies and the rapid change in technology use, it was a matter of time that artificial intelligence and machine learning would enter modern banking, redefining the dynamics forever. The application of AI and ML will offer predictive data analysis as banks and financial institutions will try to offer better services with more actionable information like patterned data sets of customers behaviour and spending behaviour. Artificial intelligence adoption for financial institutions will be the key to obtaining a competitive edge as they will offer a fast, secure, and personalised banking experience to its customers.

Share This ArticleDo the sharing thingy

About AuthorMore info about author

Visit link:
AI and Machine Learning are Redefining Banking Industry - Analytics Insight

Posted in Machine Learning | Comments Off on AI and Machine Learning are Redefining Banking Industry – Analytics Insight

Futurism Reinforces Its Next-Gen Business Commerce Platform With Advanced Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Capabilities – Yahoo Finance

New AI capabilities pave way for an ultra-personalized customer experience

PISCATAWAY, N.J., Oct. 14, 2020 /PRNewswire/ --Futurism Technologies, a leading provider of digital transformation solutions, is bringing to life its Futurism Dimensions business commerce suite with additional artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities. New AI capabilities will help online companies provide an exceptional personalized online customer experience and user journeys. Futurism Dimensions will not only help companies put their businesses online, but would also help to completely digitize their commerce lifecycle. The commerce life cycle includes digital product catalog creation and placement, AI-driven digital marketing, order generation to fulfillment, tracking, shipments, taxes and financial reporting, all from a unified platform.

With the "new norm," companies are racing to provide a better online experience for their customers. It's not just about putting up a website today, it's about creating personalized and smarter customer experiences. Using customer behavioral analysis, AI, machine learning and bots, Futurism's Dimensions creates that personalized experience. In addition, with Futurism Dimensions, companies become more efficient by transforming the entire commerce value chain and back office to digital.

"Companies such as Amazon have redefined online customer experience and set the bar very high. Every company will be expected to offer personalized, easy-to-use, online experience available from anywhere at any time and on any device," said Sheetal Pansare, CEO of Futurism Technologies. "We've armed Dimensions with advanced AI and ML to help companies provide exceptional personalized experiences to their customers. At the same time, with Dimensions, they can digitize their entire commerce value chain and become more efficient with business automation. Our ecommerce platform is affordable and suited for companies of all sizes," added Mr. Pansare.

Story continues

Futurism Dimensions highlights:

Secure and stable platform with 24/7 support and migration

As cybercrimes continue to evolve, e-commerce companies ought to keep up with advanced cybersecurity developments. Futurism Dimensions prides itself on its security for customers allowing them to receive the latest in technological advancements in cybersecurity. Dimensions leverages highly secure two-factor authentication and encryption to safeguard your customers' data and business from potential hackers.

To ensure seamless migration from existing implementations, Dimensions integrates with most legacy systems.

Dimensions offers 24/7 customer support, something you won't find with some of the dead-end platforms of the past. Others will simply have a help page or community forum, but that doesn't necessarily solve the problem. It can also be costly if you need to reach someone for support on other platforms, whereas Dimensions support is included in your plan.

Migrating to Dimensions is a seamless transition with little to no downtime. Protecting online businesses from cyber threats is a top priority while transitioning their websites from another platform or service. You get a dedicated team at your disposal throughout the transition to ensure timely completion and implementation.

Heat Map, Customer Session Playback, Live Chat and Analytics

Dimensions offers intelligent customer insights with Heat Map tracking, Full customer session playback, and live chat allowing you to understand customers' needs. Heat Map will help you identify the most used areas of your website and what your customers are clicking on. Further, customer session playback will help you identify how customers arrived at certain products or pages. Dimensions also has a live customer session that helps you provide prompt support.

Customer insights and analytics are lifeblood for any e-business in today's digital era. Dimensions offers intelligent insights into demographics to help you market to your target audiences.

Highly personalized user experience using Artificial Intelligence

Dimensions lets you deploy smart AI-powered bots that use machine learning algorithms to come up with smarter replies to customer questions thus, reducing response time significantly. Chatbots can help address customer queries that usually drop in after business hours with automated and pre-defined responses. Eureka! Never lose a sale.

Business Efficiency and Automation using AI and Machine Learning

AI and machine learning can help predict inventory and automate processes such as support, payments, and procurement. It can also expand business intelligence to help create targeted marketing plans. Lastly, it can give you live GPS logistics tracking.

Mobile Application

Dimensions team will design your mobile site application to look and function as if a consumer were viewing it on their computer. Fully optimized and designed for ease of use while not limiting anything from your main site.

About Futurism Technologies

Advancements in digital information technology continue to offer companies with the opportunities to drive efficiency, revenue, better understand and engage customers, and redefine their business models. At Futurism, we partner with our clients to leverage the power of digital technology. Digital evolution or a digital revolution, Futurism helps to guide companies on their DX journey.

Whether it is taking a business to the cloud to improve efficiency and business continuity, building a next-generation ecommerce marketplace and mobile app for a retailer, helping to define and implement a new business model for a smart factory, or providing end-to-end cybersecurity services, Futurism brings in the global consulting and implementation expertise it takes to monetize the digital journey.

Futurism provides DX services across the entire value chain including e-commerce, digital infrastructure, business processes, digital customer engagement, and cybersecurity.

Learn more about Futurism Technologies, Inc. at http://www.futurismtechnologies.com

Contact:

Leo J ColeChief Marketing OfficerMobile: +1-512-300-9744Email: communication@futurismtechnologies.com

Website: http://www.futurismtechnologies.com

Related Images

futurism-technologies.png Futurism Technologies

Related Links

Next-Gen Business Commerce Platform

View original content to download multimedia:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/futurism-reinforces-its-next-gen-business-commerce-platform-with-advanced-machine-learning-and-artificial-intelligence-capabilities-301152696.html

SOURCE Futurism Technologies, Inc.

See the rest here:
Futurism Reinforces Its Next-Gen Business Commerce Platform With Advanced Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Capabilities - Yahoo Finance

Posted in Machine Learning | Comments Off on Futurism Reinforces Its Next-Gen Business Commerce Platform With Advanced Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Capabilities – Yahoo Finance

How to Beat Analysts and the Stock Market with Machine Learning – Knowledge@Wharton

Analyst expectations of firms earnings are on average biased upwards, and that bias varies over time and stocks, according to new research by experts at Wharton and elsewhere. They have developed a machine-learning model to generate a statistically optimal and unbiased benchmark for earnings expectations, which is detailed in a new paper titled, Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases. According to the paper, the model has the potential to deliver profitable trading strategies: to buy low and sell high. When analyst expectations are too pessimistic, investors should buy the stock. When analyst expectations are excessively optimistic, investors can sell their holdings or short stocks as price declines are forecasted.

[With the machine-learning model], we can predict how the prices of the stocks will behave based on whether or not the analyst forecast is too optimistic or too pessimistic, said Wharton finance professor Jules H. van Binsbergen, who is one of the papers authors. His co-authors are Xiao Han, a doctoral student at the University of Edinburgh Business School; and Alejandro Lopez-Lira, a finance professor at the BI Norwegian Business School.

The researchers found that the biases of analysts increase in the forecast horizon, or in the period when the earnings announcement date is not anytime soon. However, on average, analysts revise their expectations downwards as the date of the earnings announcement approaches. These revisions induce negative cross-sectional stock predictability, the researchers write, explaining that stocks with more optimistic expectations earn lower subsequent returns. At the same time, corporate managers have more information about their own firms than investors have, and can use that informational advantage by issuing fresh stock, Binsbergen and his co-authors note.

The Opportunity to Profit

Comparing analysts earnings expectations with the benchmarks provided by the machine-learning algorithm reveals the degree of analysts biases, and the window of opportunity it opens. Binsbergen explained how investors could profit from their machine-learning model. With our machine-learning model, we can measure the mistakes that the analysts are making by taking the difference between what theyre forecasting and what our machine-learning forecast estimates, he said.

We can measure the mistakes that the analysts are making by taking the difference between what theyre forecasting and what our machine-learning forecast estimates. Jules H. van Binsbergen

Using that arbitrage opportunity, investors could short-sell stocks for which analysts are overly optimistic, and book their profits when the prices come down to realistic levels as the earnings announcement date approaches, said Binsbergen. Similarly, they could buy stocks for which analysts are overly pessimistic, and sell them for a profit when their prices rise to levels that correspond with earnings that turn out to be higher than forecasted, he added.

Binsbergen identified two main findings of the latest research. One is how optimistic analysts are substantially over time. Sometimes the bias is higher, and sometimes it is lower. That holds for the aggregate, but also for individual stocks, he said. With our method, you can track over time the stocks for which analysts are too optimistic or too pessimistic. That said, there are more stocks for which analysts are optimistic than theyre pessimistic, he added.

The second finding of the study is that there is quite a lot of difference between stocks in how biased the analysts are, said Binsbergen. So, its not that were just making one aggregate statement, that on average for all stocks the analysts are too optimistic.

Capital-raising Window for Corporations

Corporations, too, could use the machine-learning algorithms measure for analysts biases. If you are a manager of a firm who is aware of those biases, then in fact you can benefit from that, said Binsbergen. If the price is high, you can issue stocks and raise money. Conversely, if analysts negative biases push down the price of a stock, they serve as a signal for the firm to avoid issuing fresh stock at that time.

When analysts biases lift or depress a stocks price, it implies that the markets seem to be buying the analysts forecasts and were not correcting them for over-optimism or over-pessimism yet, Binsbergen said. With the machine-learning model that he and his researchers have developed, you can have a profitable investment strategy, he added. That also means that the managers of the firms whose stock prices are overpriced can issue stocks. When the stock is underpriced they can either buy back stocks, or at least refrain from issuing stocks.

For their study, the researchers used information from firms balance sheets, macroeconomic variables, and analysts predictions. They constructed forecasts for annual earnings that are a year and two years ahead for annual earnings; similarly, they used forecasts that were one, two and three quarters ahead for quarterly earnings. With the benchmark expectation provided by their machine-learning algorithm, they then calculated the bias in expectations as the difference between the analysts forecasts and the machine-learning forecasts.

Read this article:
How to Beat Analysts and the Stock Market with Machine Learning - Knowledge@Wharton

Posted in Machine Learning | Comments Off on How to Beat Analysts and the Stock Market with Machine Learning – Knowledge@Wharton