A moment of Clarity. Some DTCG is not bad.


Ok,

Here is the G-d’s honest truth. Not all SNP/DTCG companies are bad. What do I mean by bad?

Not all SNP/DTCG companies misrepresented that which is not medically useful as medically useful.

I look at Pathway and Counsyl for example. Fast followers looking to say what they do and mean what they say.

Some of these DTCG tests could be clinically relevant and useful. The problem I have, is that there is no point at which I can say, “Hey I just want the clinically relevant stuff!” No ear wax please.

I need that as a clinician. If I want a huge panel of say CYP450 tests, where do I go? there are some labs that do this and charge and arm and a leg. One company, who I used charged the patient thousands of dollars because insurance wouldn’t pick it up.

That cannot ever happen again.

With the addition of these tests with some clinical value, there must be a value add of inexpensive and RAPID TAT (Turn Around time)

A classic example is my last post. Provided these tests become validated clinically, in a patient who can’t give me her Gail risk information (tough not to, but it could be a real case) I would use that other panel

The same is true for BRCA founder mutations. Provided you won’t drop it in some google database that they get served up mastectomy ads, some patients are afraid of needles and that is a barrier.

There are some very good things here. These good things are getting drowned out by some very bad things.

We can work together if you are willing to bend.


The lack of really effective clinical utility and the existence of commercial interests increases the confusion though. It’s hard to sell something that is interesting, “fun”(?), quite expensive, but not actually that useful to the majority right now. Hard to sell means sometimes over the top marketing.”

What medicine cannot tolerate is Over the Top Marketing. It leads to inaccurate statements. This is something extremely forbidden in certain states. In fact, some states don’t allow advertising to patients at all, or there laws are so strict you couldn’t say anything than

“Dr Murphy, accepting new patients, take insurance”

Why is this? It is to prevent false claims and promises. Doctors can’t make money back guarantees. They can’t make statements which are not based on fact in advertising. A lot of companies in a rush to get out young science and feed the hype cycle for grants and whatever have been all too guilty of this hype.

So when I get a comment from one of my readers who says (paraphrased)

“Hey all this bashing you do on DTCG is making us in the science end of the SNP reseach look bad”

It prompted me to say, hey, I wouldn’t have to throw so much cold water on it if it weren’t being hyped so much by DTCG…….

So I guess my point is simple.

Hey DTCG, your opportunity is to leverage your amazing platforms to launch medical services, TO and WITH physicians.

Keep the nonmedical exactly that, NONMEDICAL

Keep the Medical EXACTLY that, MEDICAL

People can benefit by knowing their 2D6/2C19/2C9/VKORC1.

But there are some hurdles to be overcome

1. How can I trust your results?
You have started by enlisting or creating CLIA certified labs, that is a good start. Maybe FDA cert would be nice. Not needed, but nice. There currently is only AmpliChip that is FDA approved….Would like others.

2. How can I know your interpretation is correct?
By using board certified molecular pathologists, I can get a comfortable feel for the fact that the results have been vetted by your specialist. This is muy importante!

3. How can I integrate the results into my EMR/PHR/etc.?
This is going to be super important. How can I save these results linked to patient care? Sure, some would pull paper and put it in the chart, others would prefer a pull in and link. You have to think how to do this.

4. What if the interpretation changes?
Will you take responsibility to contact Either the ordering physician or patient when a result changed? This will be important as we learn more about the nature of these genetic changes.

Doctor’s rely on these 4 things from most labs that they use. The depend on these services to be provided professionally and accurately.

These 4 things are EXTREMELY hard to do. But NEED to be done if you really want to be a part of the medical community. But even if you don’t, I think your customers deserve this sort of validation and service. Don’t you?
Take the jump, create a medical arm. Work with us.

The Sherpa Says: This is what is needed. Medicinally used DTCG that is “Allowed” to be of clinical use. A new Terms of Service, just for doctors, with a validation process that is transparent. And a Marketing process which is truthful.

SNPs for breast cancer risk? It Depends.

I hold in my hot little hands a copy of the NEJM, March 18th edition. In it there is an article which isn’t even released yet.


Entitled
“Performance of Common Genetic Variants in Breast-Cancer Risk Models”

Remember when we did this for heart disease risk? FAIL WHALE…..

Do you think it will happen again?

The Study

10 common genetic variants


I had to create a couple of pages on SNPedia for this list FYI…..

The Methods:
Cases and controls-WHI, ACS CPSII Nutrition Cohort, Nurses Health Study, Prostate/Lung/Colorectal/Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial, and Polish Breast Cancer Study.

Cases-Woman who had received diagnosis of invasive breast cancer.

Risk Models Used-A hybrid of the Gail model…..I.E. Not exactly the Gail Model.
1. First degree relatives with breast cancer
2. Age at Menarche
3. Age at first live birth
4. Number of Breast Biopsies

They acknowledge that they were unable to get atypical hyperplasia and Mammographic density. Both of which have improved Gail.

So, This Gail is a little hobbled and not the best predictive model…….

The studied models- 5 logistic regression models
I don’t have the supplementary tables and methods yet.

The nongenetic model-Gail Model
The Demographic/Genetic Variant Count Model-included number of alleles.
The Demographic/Genetic Individual Variant-Accounted for individual effects of each SNP
The Inclusive Model-Gail, Genetics Demographics
The Demographic Model
And Random….

When we do these sorts of statistical analyses we look for a couple of things.

A. Number of people reclassified and how?
B. The Area Under the ROC Curve


Results-

1. The Inclusive Model Yielded and AUC of 61.8%
2. The Nongenetic Model yielded an AUC of 58%
3. The Genetic Individual Variant Yielded an AUC of 59.7%
4. The Genetic Variant Count Yielded an AUC of 58.8%
5. Breast Biopsy BY ITSELF Yielded an AUC of 56.2%

That is a 3.8% difference in Yield from Genes and without Genes integrated into the weaker Gail Model.

Lastly, they asked. Well, does this Inclusive Model do a good job of discrimination of High risk vs. low risk.

The Answer- It determines lower risk better than Gail. It does not determine higher risk better.

The authors of this study have stated that

“As in Diabetes and cardiovascular disease, the addition of the common SNPs added little to the predictive value of the clinical models. On the basis of theoretical models, Gail has shown that increases in the AUC similar to those observed here and not sufficiently large to improve meaningfully the identification of women who might benefit from tamoxifen prophylaxis or screening mammography”

Take Home

The addition of these factors only creates a minimal statistical increase that is of no useful clinical benefit.

The Sherpa Says: If the press says “gene tests fail to improve risk assessment” You can be assured that the DTCG industry is no longer the darlings. If instead they say “Improvement in risk model” well, then you have chance to woo them back! It Depends…….

How can MDVIP use Navigenics Test for Medicine?

I have been harping on this say what you mean. Say what you do. Theme lately.


I am a board certified doctor who practices personalized medicine. I see patients and apply the principles or pharmacogenomics, risk prediction and prevention tailored to each individual patient. I do this by taking a 3 generation pedigree, using current clinical risk models and pharmacogenomic or other genetic tests when indicated. That’s me.

I have this nagging pain about MDVIP, Ed Goldman and Navigenics.

Some MDVIP members are using Navigenics tests for medical risk prediction. Navigenics is ok with this because hey, they’re doctors.


The contents of our Site, including any risk estimates or other reports generated by the Services (collectively, “Your Report“) and any other information, data, analyses, editorial content, images, audio and video clips, hyperlinks and references (collectively, “Content“), are for informational purposes only and are not intended to substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment.

The part I want to focus on is “Are for informational purposes only and are not intended to substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment”

It seems to me that this will be the more popular language in a Terms of Service for DTCG.
Notice that nowhere does it say, “This report is not intended to diagnose or treat”

I think that while it is nice to not say that, when in fact people are using it to diagnose, it is even goofier to say that it is not intended to substitute for a professional’s diagnosis. Ok, so are you saying

1. This is not to be used for diagnosis/medical advice
2. This is to be used for diagnosis, but the professional’s diagnosis trumps ours
3. This test is meant to be used by professionals to aid them in diagnosis and treatment

I am really confused here. Is this a medical test or not. Just come right out and say it!

The Sherpa Says: Say what you do, do what you say you do. Isn’t that what the Common Framework of Principles is About?

The Argument Against DTC Genomics Marketing and such

Keith Grimaldi and Daniel MacArthur and Andrew Yates and I have a little bit of confusion. I think we are arguing over 2 different points.

First, Keith, Daniel and Drew need to go read a paper I authored entitled

“In Need of a Reality Check” published in the May 2009 Nature Biotech Journal.

I think many people have misunderstood our messages. So to be simple.

A. Keep the Medical, Well, Medical.

1. Medical Genetic tests that are to be used clinically should have clinical input
2. Medical Genetic tests should be regulated according to the laws of each state/country
3. DTC Genomic tests come in several flavors. The DTCG Medical tests should be Medical.

I have been championing this one for a LONG time. The arguments for this are pretty clear

1. Without clinical input, selling medical tests without an understanding of their use on a FIRST HAND basis is a bad business plan. Also, the risks of a non physician over marketing these tests as to be used for too many things or used before the science pans out could harm the consumer. Think OvaSure……

How? Via false advice and guidance, delivered not by a physician, but by a website.
Who takes accountability and liability for this? The answer no one. Thus, the chain of trust is broken and the patient is left no recourse.

2. Medical Genetic Tests should be regulated by the laws of the country/state/province of use.

Why? Well, if we don’t agree to follow laws, we are lawless. How does being lawless benefit the consumer/patient? How does it build trust? It doesn’t, thus, EVEN IF the laws are “stupid and outdated” those who break the law, break the trust required for such special testing and care.

3. Medicinally used genetic tests, whether DTCG or not, should be represented and treated as Medical Tests.

Why? This goes back again to quality control and tests. This also goes back to trust. If a patient is encouraged to use a medicinally used genetic test, they should have the confidence that it meets medical quality and that the lab follows that are required for medical tests.

Am I wrong? I challenge someone to give me 3 good reasons why these rules should not be followed. And they cannot use “We are slowing innovation” “It is inevitable” or “You are rent seeking doctors” Why? these are stupid arguments that you will need to prove beyond a shadow of a doubt. Why? When patient safety and trust is one the line, you better be DAMN sure of your stance.

B. The marketing of these current DTCG tests in not keeping medicinally used tests in the medical realm. They should immediately correct this course.

1. Marketing message confusion leads people to equate nonmedical tests as medical. This results in the customer/patient. relying on non-standard of care tests.

I use here the example of Dane Jasper an SV entrepreneur who said he could save “25 bucks” buy relying on 23andMe’s CF test instead of going to a trained professional to have testing done.

2. Simply stating your tests are “nonmedical” does not make them “nonmedical” especially if they have a long history of being used medically.

May I skip getting licensed in a state if I say I do “nonmedical” medicine? May I give you coumadin “OTC” if it is to not be used to diagnose or treat a condition? No, I may not. Can someone OTHER than a pharmacist/doctor get access to medications? Not in the US.

They do this to avoid charlatanism and people putting other people at risk. In this case, the risk is a “nonmedical” diagnosis of CF carrier state, or a “nonmedical” misdiagnosis of no CF carrier state.

3. Marketing “NonMedical” Medical tests as cool and hip

A. Turns off doctors from using useful tools
B. Makes the valued noble profession of medicine appear, trivial, akin to Paris Hilton.

Please stop this now.

The Sherpa Says: This is too long to have in a post. I am drafting a paper on this subject now. But you first should read “In Need of A reality Check” in Nature Biotech.

BRCA testing by 23andME is the same as Myriad Genetics.

February 2009 23andMe entered into clinical medical testing of DNA variants which are the exact same variants Myriad Genetics tests for. There is only ONE use for this test. That is a clinical use. When these results are obtained clinical counseling is the standard of care for delivery of these results. Not a flashy webportal……

Minimizing the seriousness of a medical test looked just as awkward by us in the first video as it should be by showing it on a blimp or at a cocktail party or highway billboard sign…..All things that Linda Avey and Anne Woj decided to have their company do….

The Sherpa Says: Misha is correct, Medical Geneticists painted themselves into a corner by harboring in the rare disease port. This allowed people who have no G-dDamn business in medicine, to play doctor at parties and on the internet!

The FDA, 2c19 and the ACC

Did anyone see the FDA issuance of the better warning that as many as 14% of patients will not benefit from Plavix/Clopidogrel?

Did anyone see the cold shower being poured on by the press and the cardiologists?

Christopher Cannon Assoc. Prof at Harvard says:
The ACC will need to develop protocols, “Thus a real conundrum”

He then says “I expect mass confusion in response to this FDA warning”

Well Chris, It’s not as if we haven’t been shouting from the rooftops about this for over a year now…….

“The test costs about 500 USD according to Courtney Harper PhD, Director of the FDAs division of chemistry and toxicology devices. But cost isn’t the only issue.”

Which BTW is false 23andME is cheaper……But wait, isn’t that medicine?

“The time to get a result varies. It may be a few hours to a day or two, or other labs may take a few weeks”

This is absolutely true. It takes me 3 weeks for a test from Quest. I am certain that there has to be some lab to do it quicker…….

BUT, the FDA has only approved AmpliChip for this testing…..

This sounds to me like the FDA needs to approve some kits and PDQ with the ACC meeting coming up like,

My guess

1. The ACC will address and release its prelim algorithm

2. The ACC conference will have even further data regarding this released.

3. The last step is to FDA in some kits to do this test, quicker and more standardized.

We need a company that can direct us to

So the question, why all the cold water on this killer app? Well, because it is getting lumped in with DTC genomics, which is feeling a backlash from hype and failed promises. Or trying to play medicine.
As well as a flat disregard for medicine. So when the press and the healthcare providers are against you, you can feel it.

But this is what I have been frustrated about all along. I saw this coming. Doctors blowing off PGx thinking it is SNPChip Hype. Journalists pouncing on overpromising and intellectually dishonest DTC Genomics companies…..

This is why I was so mad about the blimp.

When something really awesome comes around, people are burned out from Open Bars……

The Sherpa Says: Let’s really do this. Genomics and PGx IS medicine. Let’s say it proud, Let’s ay it loud. Quit screwing around to avoid regs. Let’s how the world how we can use this to help mankind!

……..DTC Genomic Medicine?

Back in February of 2009 Myriad decided to do testing for genetic founder mutations………

Yet they claimed it wasn’t medicine and should not be used for medicine.

BRCA Ashkenzi Jewish founder mutations offer information that can confer an elevated risk of Breast, Ovarian, possibly melanoma, Pancreatic and maybe blood cancer.

There really isn’t any other thing that these tests can be used for other than medical decision making and diagnosis. The diagnosis would be Genetic Risk for Cancer. There is a medical code for it in the International Classification of Diseases 9th Edition. In fact there are multiple codes. The v84.0 super family of codes.

Granted this presentation was a bit manic and the iPhone volume control was horrible (turn down your speaker volume). But the point is clear. Either founder mutation testing is a genetic mutation, or it is not.

You cannot have it both ways. Say what it means. If that means your state requires physician consultation or ordering, do it.

If it doesn’t, well, I strongly recommend you receive that healthcare provider service.


The problem with Comparative Whole Genomics……


I have been having this debate with a good friend and mentor.


I think Complete Genome Comparison could be a Killer App.

He thinks it could be a legal and scientific nightmare.

I think he’s right.

Let’s really think about this for a second. If history has anything to say about human behavior we need look no further than the secrecy with which gene sequences were hunted.

Hell, even Science makes mention of it several times. The Article “Data Hoarding Blocks Progress in Genetics” might be a good read if you are interested.

Guys like Daniel MacArthur over at Genetic future point out some good points about the difficulty in making sense of all the noise that exists in genomes. But the problems go even further than that. Hell, CNV can differ in IDENTICAL TWINS!!!! Say Wha?

So what do we have to say about this? Phenotype and comparison are kings. Databases of “normals” and disease afflicted need to be developed. They need to be curated, they need to be “shared”

Ahem, excuse me? Did you say “shared?”

Yes, I did say shared.

Exec/USGOVT/BGI/UK/Etc- “Well, sure we would like to give that idea more credence and study it. And the implications it may bring. Would you be so kind as to forward your attorney’s information so that our attorneys can consult with yours in order to bankrupt you and send you away with you radical thinking?”

He has me convinced (a tough thing to do) that the level of collaboration amongst human geneticists and Venture Capitalists might not be exactly the level of their physician brethren….

What happens when you get access to a database, but not “all of it”

Who pays? Who benefits? Who gets rights of discovery? Who pays the Nosferatu? (sorry Dan)

With Sequencing as a Service, do you have these problems licked? Probably not.

So when Daniel points out every geneticist afflicted with a disease feel good discovery, there are about 100 nightmare scenarios of chasing down rare variants that turn out to be nothing except a good excuse to burn through 10 million dollars……..

I begin to say, well how can we pick that up quicker? Comparative Whole Genomics.

Great, which database do I start with? Do I have to use 20 or 200 databases? How can I afford such work? Which one of the 200 won’t make a play legally to own my discovery?

Ahh, yes. It is a good time to be a genome centric attorney. But a nightmare to launch a business where you depend on someone else’s database………

The Sherpa Says: Yes, sugar plums, ponies and lemon drops for as far as the eye can see for Genomics! I hope Andy will bring this back to earth……..Or maybe Glenn Close can show us where the fruit punch swimming pool is?

What a difference a year makes


It has been one year since I commented on 23andMe’s foray into clinical medicine. I was frankly blown away that such a move would be so blatant without integration of health care practitioners.


I also was blown away that Myriad wouldn’t sue the ever living bejesus out of 23andMe. A year later, no lawsuit. I am still surprised about this one. Don’t you have to demonstrate protection of your patent to keep it?

Maybe Google/23andMe are paying a VIG to Myriad? I don’t know, but it hasn’t shown up on Myriad’s SEC reports yet……

Why was I so surprised? Well, a few months after 23andMe launched the service AND Myriad did not sue, MYRIAD WAS SUED.

I began to wonder if not suing Google/23andMe was a sign of weakness. I was certain Myriad would then shut down the DTC Genomics BRCA testing.

To date, they have not.

This begs the question, does Myriad think they do not have a case and would lose against Google, thus strengthening the case against them by the ACLU? If that is truly the case and we will begin to see judicial activism in patent removal, well, then we could be in for an EXPLOSION of genetic testing labs out there, each doing their own thing, their own way.

An article in Nature Medicine by Brendan Borrell, does an excellent job of discussion the potential backlash and issues related to DTC Genomics and patent holders. Balaji S. of Counsyl took the tech line. “Should we really be charge to look in the mirror?” Well, Balaji, do you have to buy a mirror to look in it? FAIL

The question is: “Will other patent holders see themselves as vulnerable by allowing DTC Genomics companies to test for THEIR patented genetic markers?”

This could prompt a huge wave of lawsuits against these fledgling DTC Genomics companies. Normally, companies sue to shake down, scare away competition and make money or at least protect patents. What we could see is lawsuits designed to crush these young companies in an attempt to scare off the ACLU et.al.

By Myriad NOT suing 23andMe, we may have opened up a new wave of patent paranoia and fear. When that happens companies often turn to the courts to scare away competitors and people hell bent on their (patent) destruction……(ACLU)

It will be interesting to see what this year holds for the Gene Patent……

The Sherpa Says: I would love to hear Dan Vorhaus or Gary Marchant’s or Barbara Evans’ opinions on these things………

Just 4 million? What 23andMe is worth.


So by now I am certain everyone in the DTC genomics world has seen this BNET story


From the Story

Is it really the best time for 23andMe, a leader in recreational genetic testing to be handing $4 million to an executive officer? That’s the news from their SEC filing. The official explanation is the $4 mm was a payback to a company officer for a loan, with the money coming from the company’s series B financing, which included an investment from Google. “

Ahem…….


I have flayed them for playing doctor even begged my associates in the past to as well.

Listen, if anyone has a beef with these guys. I do. They had this thought to replace physicians, which is a foolish way to think. You cannot replace doctors. Just empower them. Which is what should have been done here, but instead they were too playing Doctor on Oprah……

But the question “Are these guys going under?” is a foolish question. Drew was right. They are not going under. They, just like ACORN are changing faces to try anew……..

The Sherpa Says: The question should be, “What is this 4 million dollars for?”

G2C2, finally a tool for genomic education!


Has anyone visited or registered for G2C2 at UVA? I have been championing for years, the addition of Physicians’ Assistants and Nurses into the field of Medical Genetics.


Why? Well, for one, unlike genetic counselors, PAs and Nurses have rigorous physiology courses. Now with PGx, they also are important players because they actually prescribe medications and have pharmacology knowledge. Unlike Genetic Counselors…..

But most importantly, there are thousands of them. No, not 3000, hundreds of thousands in total.


According to GenomeWeb

The center provides cross-mapped learning activities and assessments, outcome indicators and professional competencies, such as Genomics Nursing: Competencies, Curricula Guidelines, and Outcome Indicators.

These are key things for measuring educational outcomes and this will likely be a source of educational research. Something that is near and dear to my heart!

The Sherpa Says: We must educate to move this field forward en masse.


I was wrong……AHEM

Ok,

I was wrong. When GC said: “The GET Conference 2010 marks the last opportunity in history to gather a majority of individuals in the world with public personal genome sequences in a single venue,”

I said:

That is a pretty heady statement by Dr. Church. Does he really think 2010 will be the year that 1000s of people will get whole genomes done?


I say, maybe a little hype. How about hundreds? Maybe….”

I said this with some conviction because I was uncertain that the companies out there would be able to use the genome samples as useful tools, like the exomes Church did or Watson’s sequence from the Rothberg team……..BTW, Nice release on the Ion Torrents stuff Jonathan. Will you be deploying it with 23andMe?


We will have 1000s of Genomes. Keith Robison took me to task too……but I still maintain that the spirit of what I said remains.

The quality of Genomes will not be such as that of Jimbo and the Boys and XXs up there on stage…….

However, I am paying attention to Ion Torrent and Rothberg’s ability to juice this thing up quicker than we can imagine…..…check here on the 27th for an update.

Seriously, he is going to prove me dead wrong. When I met with him in sleepy ‘Ol guilford out by the sound he had some exciting stuff going on. I only wish we could have spent more time together so I could learn about it…….

So my question remains, will George be right or will I? That’s the challenge to the scientists in the space……..prove me wrong! Crank out 1000 genomes of high quality. Crank out so many quality genomes that we can finally do something with them……I beg you JR.

Prove the Sherpa Wrong!

Hey! It’s Pete Hulick! Are you Going to GET?

I want to congratulate Dr Peter Hulick M.D. Medical Geneticist/Internist.


I just read his wonderful article in the Internal Medicine News. For those who don’t know Dr. Hulick, he is on heck of a doctor and a really nice guy. I look forward to more articles from him in the future!

Secondly, after all the big splash effort about the GET conference, I would like to encourage readers to attend.


“The GET Conference 2010 marks the last opportunity in history to gather a majority of individuals in the world with public personal genome sequences in a single venue,” says George Church, founder and principal investigator of the Personal Genome Project and professor of genetics at Harvard Medical School. “With rapid advances in technology, the number of individuals with personal genome sequences is expected to rise dramatically, from dozens today to thousands by 2011 and a million or more individuals within the next few years.”

That is a pretty heady statement by Dr. Church. Does he really think 2010 will be the year that 1000s of people will get whole genomes done?

I say, maybe a little hype. How about hundreds? Maybe….

The morning portion of GET Conference 2010 will feature wide-ranging discussions during which personal genome pioneers and globally recognized leaders of genomic science and industry, including the genetic bad-a$$ Misha Angrist, The O’l Man: George Church, Joltin Jay Flatley, “Do You Know Who I Am!” Henry Louis Gates, Jr., Rosalynn Gill, Seong-Jin Kim, Greg Lucier, James Lupski, Stephen Quake, Dan “Where’s my refund?” Stoicescu and James “Well, It’s True” Watson, will share their experiences and discuss the future of personal genomics. Award-winning science journalists Carl Zimmer and Robert Krulwich will moderate the discussions.

Why is this going to be a great conference? The speakers, that’s why.

The afternoon program will additionally showcase:

· Four “prototypes of the future” sessions highlighting the next generation of personalized genomic products, services and activities and moderated by the executive editor of WIRED and author, Thomas “The Death Stare” Goetz.

· The public debut of the BioWeatherMap initiative, a collaboration between scientists and the public using next-generation sequencing platforms to address the fundamental question: “How diverse is the microbial life around us and how can we use that information to our advantage?”

The GET Conference 2010 will take place on Tuesday, April 27, 2010 from 8:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m. at the Microsoft New England Research and Development Center in Cambridge, Mass. The event will be limited to 200 registrants. To register for the GET Conference 2010, visit http://www.getconference.eventbrite.com/.


Tommy Goetz hates me, but I still will go because, let’s face it, who doesn’t love the

“Howard Stern of Genomics“-Jeff Gulcher


The Sherpa Says: An army of geneticists amassing to deploy clinical useful tools in a virtual setting? Nawh…..

9p21…..ahem. Paynter et.al. Smackdown. Again.


Yeah, yeah, yeah……..common variants don’t work for heart disease…….We got it.


Rare variants matter more……..


But the SNP data on 9p21 and others in this recent Nina Paynter paper are correct……

What we have here is a study on 101 SNPs and the association with heart disease followed OVER 12 years. This is precisely what I have been asking for from the dawn of these DTC SNP companies. I remember when all the wonks kept saying, well, we know just ONE snp is not that important as a predictor, but when we have panels of 100 SNPs, we will have the best predictive tools out there…….

In fact, deCode bet their livelihood on it as a diagnostics company…..This has to be the winning strategy, right?

Wrong.

That is the assessment of the current state from this Paynter paper, which IMHO was well written and was a likely outcome after the paper Paynter published in May 2009 which said that when you add 9p21 SNPs to current risk stratification models it added essentially nothing.


We have such robust models for assessing CVD risk, why not focus on things we do not have tools for assessing.

Every day we take family histories of all of our patients. We have hundreds of pedigrees. Non statistically I can tell you, if your parents were fat, had HTN, had AD, etc….there is an increased likelihood of your risk…….REGARDLESS of what some SNP scan says.

If you really want to make this tool useful, then use it for something useful and quit trying to make it fit in every hole!

The Sherpa Says: Face it, to get real personalized medicine we need pedigree studies. Tons and Tons of pedigree studies with candidate rare variants. And a set of “normals”
That costs big money, I get it. Now do you Francis?

I love my readers, even Renata M!

This is commentary from my prior blog post and with a great Reader who always gets my thinking about my stances and opinions. Since I couldn’t fit it all in the comments page I want to share it with everyone. You can see her comments Why can’t google let more than 4096 characters exist on a comments string??? G-d Only Knows.

The Bold is my response

Dr. “Sherpa” – I am confused.

“Are you FOR personalized medicine or not?”


Yes I am for diagnosing and preventing disease, accurately, scientifically and medically. I am for dosing medications as guided by one’s genes and environment. I am for identifying genetic risks for disease using accepted standards and even new standards that are medically valid.

“Are you happy NYS licensed Navigenics…and is no doubt on the path of doing so with other companies…or not?”

I am familiar with the lab requirements for NYS. They have met those. I am not so certain applying an algorithm on that data to interpret it is such a good thing here, especially the risk interpretation. Which can be different from other tests like this. Nevertheless, a physician can use this non-medically valid test if they want to in NYS. I am not certain many physicians would use it. The malpractice exposure they would get from these multiple non validated data points are pretty risky…..


“As a pioneer physician you must be aware that one doesn’t begin with an optimal end result for an entirely NEW INDUSTRY…at the beginning of the process.”

I agree, you have to break a few eggs to make an omelet. But when you are dealing with human life, a different standard begins to emerge……

“Certainly, as a physician, you are.”

“So, I am confused by your posts making assertions that cross the line to outright claims of conflicts of interests and…sometimes worse…without a shred of proof.”

Renata M, before you accuse me of slander, please tell me which statements you find objection to.

“Why undermine the trust/confidence in this new world in this way? “

Why should we trust before it is proven to us? And why is DTC Genomics equated with Personalized Medicine? It IS NOT PM!

Isn’t that what we are seeing in the US now? People who trust inherently often end up hurt. In fact it is the skeptics like Socrates who are venerated. Unfortunately, often after they are long gone or are executed for their beliefs….

“Nor should dated links that no longer apply to the fast evolving and current business/economic climate, technologies and law(s) in differing American States and the international sector be fused – adding to the confusion for neophytes…like me…who, though we are not of your august standing…deserve better from you.


Renata,
Outdated links? I think that it was an important point you missed there. Jack LORD WAS the CEO of Navigenics. This is obviously not some deal cooked up by Vance. you just can’t do that sort of thing in a month’s time!

“Is it your belief that ANY executive or Board Member who has a former affiliation is actually acting in the capacity of all former posts/affiliations/occupations”


Renata, you cannot tell me you are that naive? Are you serious? Does Jack Lord have any ties or better yet, stock options? Tell me how much Eric Schmidt enjoyed being on Apple’s board? Economically and for his own Company?


“- and – Navigenics Board, the State of New York Department of Health, investment banks and Proctor & Gamble are incapable and/or otherwise conflicted insofar as validating Management and future plans as detailed to the aforementioned?”

Hmmmmm, maybe you can clarify what the hell you mean here? I don’t understand how the NYS DOH validates Management and future plans of Navigenics Board and their members?

“Are only physicians capable of avoiding conflicts of interests when they choose to participate in the business sector???”

No, no one is all that capable these days of avoiding conflicts of interests. That is why we declare them on CMEs we give, or in academic positions. It is this transparency that is needed. Do I own a DTC company? No. Do I make money from DTC testing? No. Would I make money off Genetic testing done in my office? No, not off the test.


“For those of us who are not physicians, bankers or biotech experts/lawyers…though your posts are always entertaining and provocative fun…confusing.”

I would love to know who you are Renata M. Feel like disclosing? Maybe we could share IP addresses? Hmmmm?

“Fortunately, I try to keep up and have historical context to provide me with not only insights – but a view of where conflicts really lie.”

I thought you were a neophyte? What historical context are you talking about?

“I cannot see them with Navigenics, nor with the decisions of P&G, investment banks, NYS Dept. of Health”

You have to stop lumping the NYS DOH in with these companies. The government has a strict protocol for defining conflicts of interest. Which is available to the public.

“…to validate this fine Company and its efforts to pioneer new, difficult terrain in a challenging economic climate.”

I know that some of the people at Navigenics are very fine people. I agree. But Navi is hardly doing the pioneering for personalized medicine. I would say the people doing the family histories, using the PGX testing, seeing patients and applying the science are the pioneers. The people doing the research are the pioneers. The people guiding the governmental policies are pioneers…..

The people trying to make a fast buck here are the profiteers…………

I am in this for the long haul Renata M……..I am only 33. We have a long way to go. And my interests lie with giving the field Gravitas and a sense of Honor. That is what this field needs……not Sports cars, celebrity endorsement and open bars……

Seriously Renata M, WTF? This is personalized MEDICINE. Not Personalized SHOPPING. Not personalized GOSSIP SHOWS. not Personalized GENOMIC DISCRIMINATION…….

Personalized MEDICINE. Which is altogether separate, intertwined with, but different than personalized GENOMICS…..

“Be well.”

You too Renata

End Comment String

The commenter raises a couple of really good points.

1. Just because you have a state approval does not mean what you are doing is medically sound. But people often think that is the case. Ask the chronic Lyme doctors who pump you full of antibiotics here in CT……

2. A Company Board has its own set of operating circumstances…..every one is different and boards of publicly traded companies have different rules and issues from private boards…….

3. Just like Toyota, these companies have a responsibility to get it right. Often, the first time. If they don’t they need to recall until it is right…….even though this is not an accelerator issue, it will soon be a doctor using these tests…….(UGH!) issue.

4. I am sick of Personal Genomics jumping on the Personalized Medicine Brand. They are not the same. That is basically like saying a blood type is Medical Care. It could be used for medical care. It could also be used for “fun” Remember that? It could also be used to identify relatedness. It could be used to market a diet fad resulting in millions of dollars of profit…… It could also be used for god only knows…..but it is not always Medical Care……and at least Blood Types are clinically useful.


The Sherpa Says: We have to stay strong of mind here. The marketers are out to trick us into thinking DTC Genomics is NOW, Personalized Medicine! Because that is where the market is………

How can insurers use DTC genomics to profile?


The Answer: They float a trial balloon in the Merry ‘Ol Land of Oz……


So when everyone pointed out to me that this NIB in Australia was offering deep discount Navigenics tests, I laughed…….Why?

You did see the story on DeCode in Newsweek and the fate of deCodeMe right? Or Daniel’s blog?

You see, these little SNP chips have got to find a market or they will soon die. Even worse, these little SNP tests have got to find a market soon or they will die too…….

And maybe the companies associated (Not the people mind you) with them?

So when I posted about the Humana Executive who was running Navigenics after Mari Hit the Road and the high likelihood of Navigenics trying to find an insurance partner for their little charade…..

That is precisely what I thought when I saw the presser from Navi about Jack Lord, Humana’s “Innovation” director running Navi.

I thought, which Insurer would be stupid enough to use the DTC genomic tests to profile patients’ risks for disease…..

Well, it turns out that they aren’t so stupid over here. Instead, they convince some company in ‘Oz to do it as a “trial balloon”

Guess what? It has failed. Thanks to bloggers like Daniel and reporters like Kerry O’Brien

KERRY O’BRIEN: Are you aware the American Medical Association recommends that a doctor should always be involved in a person’s genetic testing and that according to The Washington Post the lack of doctor involvement in precisely these kinds of tests has made the tests technically illegal in some American states.

MARK FITZGIBBON: No, I wasn’t aware of those findings, but again using my example I took my test to the doctor. Now, if we need to do more in terms of encouraging people to take these tests to their doctors, we’re already offering a counselling service, an advice service as part of the product offering. Maybe that’s what we’ll do. And this is very much in a pilot stage.”


Oops, did KPCB forget to tell NIB that this was Illegal in some states?

So much for Due Diligence…..try Google next time Fellas….

The Sherpa Says: If there is any question how I feel about this test clinically, you can read here. But as to my thoughts on using it to estimate community risk pooling for insurance. Didn’t GINA outlaw that?

Hype, Hype, Hype from a single study.

You know what pisses me off. The blatant stupidity given to hyping one piece of literature and making it seem as if it is true.

What pisses me off more is insinuating that there is some inherent value in a certain single study without prefacing the factors.

Let me tell you who often does that.

1. Nutriceutical salesmen in a Multi Level Marketing Scheme

2. People looking to sell some fancy medical device

3. Pharma companies creating fake journals

4. DTC Genomics companies trying to prove value from their tests……

Don’t believe me? Well, just read the spittoon’s blog post about TRALI.…which is Transfusion Related Acute Lung Injury……

How does this hype occur? First the study….

It starts with a scare

“TRALI is one of the major causes of transfusion-association deaths in the developed world.”-Spitton

Ok. We used to think this was rare and yes, it is more common based on some new agreed standards….. 1 in 300,000 people in some studies…..

Then it continues with baffling science jibberish to make people think you know what you are talking about……..

“One reason TRALI happens is that …… Several triggers for this type of TRALI have been identified. One of these, the HNA-3 antigen, has repeatedly been associated with severe and fatal TRALI reactions. HNA-3 comes in two versions: HNA-3a and HNA-3b…….. The likelihood that a woman will have antibodies against HNA-3 increases with each birth.

The new research found that the different versions of HNA-3 are due to SNP rs2288904 in the SLC44A2 gene. Someone who is GG at this SNP will express only HNA-3a. Someone who is AG will express both the HNA-3a and HNA-3b version. Finally, someone who is AA at rs2288904 will express only HNA-3b. ” -Spittoon

It finishes with a testimonial and a point of sale

“Confused? Here’s an example from my own family that will hopefully make things more clear:

My mom is AA at rs2288904, meaning that her body expresses only HNA-3b. My brother and I are both AG (we inherited the G at this SNP from my father), so we have both HNA-3a and HNA-3b in our bodies. If my mom was exposed to blood from my brother and/or me while we were being born, her immune system could have recognized our HNA-3a antigens as foreign and made antibodies. So now, if my mom gave blood to my brother or me, we would be at risk for TRALI, even though we all have the same ABO blood type (A+).”-Spitton

What is wrong with this? It asserts that they would absolutely without a shadow of a doubt be at risk of TRALI……..based on ONE STUDY!!!

And the point of sale?

“(23andMe Complete Edition customers can check their data for rs2288904 using the Browse Raw Data feature.)”

OMG, Holy Crap, I have to know whether I will be at risk for TRALI. Thank you so very much 23andMe! You have solved my life’s problems. Maybe I could get a life alert bracelet with all of the “risks” I have?

Seriously. What would have been nice is a “This is only one study and there is no other replication out there, but, this is interesting EARLY SCIENCE”

We still have not conclusively implicated TRALI to just this…….There is no complete consensus on the absolute pathogenesis of TRALI.

The Sherpa Says: One study a fact does not make. Nor does it make good marketing. Tssk, Tssk. One would figure that they would use proper editing of these things……..Oh wait, they fired them.

FDA, Warfarin, still not as sexy to me.

When everyone poo poo’d Warfarin, I became very, very upset. Here was a good clinical case for using PGx tests. Not a great case, but a good case. It was only when I began to think about feasability.


Lets face it, most decisions around starting coumadin happen in the hospital. Why?

Well, most patients receive an anticoagulation injection medication that most people have to be specially trained to administer at home versus a nurse in the hospital. Further, the rat poison known as coumadin is dangerous to take and is tricky to dose. So in the hospital is where a lot of people get titrated to the right dose.

This creates multiple problems

1. Insurers do not like paying for expensive meds like low molecular weight Heparin
2. Insurers do not like paying for extra hopsital days to dose a medication
3. Hospitals do not make any more money keeping people in the hospital to dose coumadin
4. Doctors do like to keep patients safe

This creates a market opportunity with demand.

But the question remains “Will testing get patients out of hospital quicker?”

Maybe.

Does this testing keep patients safer?

Maybe.

Will the FDA change the label?

They already did.

However, how many hospitals can run CYP2C9 and VKORC1?

Not very many.

What is the TAT?

Unless it is 24 hours it will not be that helpful.

Now as a Hospital, what is the ROI?
Now as a Insurer what is the ROI?
Now as a physician what is the cost of interpretation?

From a view point of a clinician who supports Personalized Medicine. We need to get rid of Coumadin and use Dabigatriban.

Is this testing useful? Yes. Is it clinically utilizable. If you are willing to wait a month.

Will this get quicker? Yes.

How much quicker? 2 weeks quicker…..but the fact remains, unless you can get a TAT of 12-24 hours this is not a reality in most worlds…..

The Sherpa Says: Great that the FDA notices the utility, but not great that the test is still too slow.

Holy Crap! MedCo Follows in CVS footsteps


By December 21st the writing was on the wall. It was pretty obvious CVS/Caremark had jumped over the number one PBM in the field MedCo…..

How so?

Well, the increased ownership in Generation Health that CVS/Caremark laid down was the way…..

The newest of the benefits management companies…..this time the focus was on genetic testing benefits.

Personally, this type of company should have been formed in 2005 when Insurers were hemorrhaging cash from those BRCA tests……..

But, slow and deliberate do Insurers move….

On the 21st it of December it was all but decided for MedCo. Ummm, Ummmmm, who looks like this Generation Health company?????

I knew back then and now everyone knows today.

MedCo buys DNADirect…..

In 2005 when My Partner at the time Leslie Manace went out to “see” Ryan…… In what turned to be a huge probe of Leslie by Ryan, Ryan revealed……”We are interested in PGx” Which was funny because so were we. So much so that we really thought that this was the bees knees and in fact was likely the only useful and scalable testing to come out in the next 5 years.

The DTC Genomics companies were merely a twisted dream at the time.

Well, Ryan. Our hunch paid off.

By Diversifying your DTC genetic testing company into something useful such as a GBM, you have moved shrewdly. And when the PBM leader gets trumped by CVS, you reap the rewards.

I look forward to the first quarter report from MedCo to see exactly how much they acquired you for.

I have been saying on this blog that the answer for these DTC genomics companies is to follow your lead. Now the question is, which big insurer will now but a DTC genomics company?

For MedCo, I am a little disappointed that you decided to choose the exact type of company as Caremark did. There are lots of other solutions out there. I hope you still plan on increasing your footprint in this space. Because it would be bad if CVS/Caremark continues to gobble these companies up and you end up buying the second in class…..

Not that DNADirect is second in class, but Heather Shappell et.al. ARE First Class.……

The Sherpa Says: There has got to be a way to make these companies less reliant on people. Even in the genetics testing space, there is a way to automate.

Why Dr. Vanier’s Navigenics appointment is good for PM


Now you may be asking yourself. What does an ER doctor know about genetic testing? Well, usually not a lot. But after being in the biz for quite some time, I am certain Vance knows quite a bit. Despite that training at Hopkins……….LOL

I am very happy and this is a tremendous step in the right direction for the Board at Navigenics. It shows that they acknowledge the best way to enter the healthcare market and have an impact on people’s lives is by working with physicians……Something that they were opposed to in the beginning.

In fact one of their PR wonks who is now gone, talks of a doctor who was advising Navi and said

“Teaching doctors about genetics isn’t tough………..It’s impossible” and with that attitude they approached DTC genomics.

I am here to tell you today, it “appears” they have turned that corner.

Time will tell, but my guess is that they will move towards the market rapidly and aggressively. They will use the lab to market to physicians. They already have a relationship with a handful of MDVIP doctors. One of which who has set up shop in sleepy ‘ol Greenwich CT.

I will be happy to help her……

The next question that this company needs to ask themselves is

“Now that we have the right man at the helm, do we have the right product?”

My answer is pretty simple. No. This not the product.

So now, they need to ask. “Do we have the cash to support our venture, UNTIL we have the right product?”

That is only something MDV will know. But, my guess is yes.

Lastly, they then need to ask themselves “Is genetic testing the product?”

Once again, my answer is no. Which means that Navigenics will likely turn into an unscalable set of medical practices and interpretation software……

The interpretation software will soon be a free commodity, just like genetic testing. Why? Prometheus beat the others and Cariaso wins. Thus no patents……..

Which means that the only way they make money is via a lenscrafters model………Which is precisely what I told Dietrich Stephan, Dr. Rothberg, and a whole slew of VCs about 2 years ago now…….

So if any of you are eavesdropping, give me a call and we can run this………..

That being said, Dr Vanier’s appointment is a good thing for PM because it shows that investors and boards now appreciate the fact that physicians must be involved in this process. Which is a win for consumers, because now they have someone who swore an oath to heal and protect the patient at the helm.

So heads up Vance, I will be watching.

Best of luck.

The Sherpa Says: Do or Do Not, there is No Try.

Enter the "Not" DTC Genomics Rep


An attractive male/female (depending on doctor) walks into the office.


“Hi I would like to talk with Dr X”

Receptionist “Who are you, sweetie?”

Rep “I want to talk with the doctor about the FUTURE OF MEDICINE”

Receptionist “Huh?”

Rep “Just let him know that I am offering DNA testing”

Receptionist “Hold On………”

Doctor comes out.

Rep “Hi doctor I am with….”

Cut off by Doctor “I know, I know, Myriad right? You have been coming around here for a couple of years now” “Ya know, I know nothing about DNA”

Rep “No doctor, I am not with Myriad. I am with naviGENICS”

Doctor “Who? Eugenics?”

Rep “No Navigenics, would you like to come to our open bar where we will talk about the FUTURE OF MEDICINE?”

Doctor “Hmmmmm……”

Rep “Don’t worry doctor, we will have a report you can show your consumers (Law 1 broken) and we will let you customize it for your practice (Law 2 broken)”


Doctor “Ok I will see you there.”

That’s the future of naviGENICS strategy in NYC…….

But what I really want to know is:

1. Do the limitations of Pharma gifts also count for Labs. Can you say trips to the Bahamas?

2. Do the minuscule amount of MDVIP docs matter that much as a market? Prob not.

3. Will Navigenics now pursue the GENE Store idea that I pitched to Dietrich Stephan in 2007?

Listen, if the rep strategy worked for Myriad, why won’t it work for naviGENICS? This is a good path for them. I envision a whole slew of lab reps in the future. Now if they could only have a test that is worth some clinical utility………

In order to gain the state license, Navigenics had to meet several requirements, including hire a doctoral-level scientist with expertise in genetic molecular testing, pay a $1,100 fee, and respond to deficiencies cited by inspectors with a plan of correction.

Most important, however, was Navigenics’ conceding to not market its services directly to consumers, as clinical labs are forbidden from doing under state regulations. “They have acknowledged that DTC will not work for them” in New York, Kusel said. “They can only operate through physicians’ orders.”


The Sherpa Says: Imagine TV ads in NYC that say “If you want to know your future, ask your Doctor…..naviGENICS doctor that is. IMHO, a test with little clinical value doesn’t get tested for unless you spend millions on marketing and advertising the way MYRIAD has. Oh, and they have a very clinically relevant test……..

CETP, Jewish Centenarians and Alzheimers

2005, I am at a lecture in a small conference room in the Annenberg building at Mount Sinai. You know the building, the huge black imposing tower at 101st and Madison Ave.


The speaker, Nir Barzilai. The topic: Living to 100. The take away, people that live to 100 have better defenses against the toxic exposure we ingest daily.

The biggest molecule I learned about CETP. Yup, CETP. So naturally when I learn about something I do a pretty big deep dive. Which is why I went out and bought huge amounts of Pfizer stock when I found out they were making a CETP inhibitor…..what a flop that was……goes to show, not all pleiomorphic effects or unexpected adverse effects are good…….

So imagine my surprise when @lindaavey @dgmacarthur mention that JAMA has a study on it….I listen.

But what do I find? Well, basically what the alzheimer association finds

This relatively small study suggests that variations in this particular gene – linked with long life and lower risk of heart disease – could also be associated with lower risk of dementia. More research is needed to fully understand this link. The government currently invests eight times less in dementia research than cancer research. This needs to change.’

I think this may be too much attention towards a subject in an attempt to hype a genetic finding. I remain skeptical. Since after all, I was burned by torcetrapib…...

The Sherpa Says: Much ado right now, but certainly would be neat if we had some hard core modifier genes involved in APOE alzheimers….

Congratulations Navigenics. You ARE a clinical lab! Uh-Oh…


So like I have said multiple times. Navigenics is AT LEAST a clinical laboratory if not a healthcare provider.


It turns out that the NY State Dept of Health thinks they are a laboratory and have now awarded them a license to do their “Health Compass” in NY

So I say “Congratulations, you are a dead man”

Why do I say this? Simply because now Navigenics (any one notice that the only other prominent genetics word that uses genics is EuGENICS? Hmmmmm)

As I was saying, now Navigenics will be allowed to be a lab in NY and are given a license. What will that entail?

Uh, Vance, you did read Subpart 34-2 of 10 NYCRR, Laboratory Business Practices in it’s entirety before you jumped into this right??

I did back in 2005 and that’s what shook us even further away from the “BIZ”

The New York State Regulations on Clinical Laboratories are extremely rigorous. In fact, if they offered the hairbrained scheme of marking up tests for my profit, like M.F. did back in 2007, they would be in violation.


Like

Section 34-2.4 Prohibited business practices by clinical laboratories.

(a) No clinical laboratory, its agent, employee or fiduciary shall make, offer, give,
or agree to make, offer or give, any payment or other consideration to a health services
purveyor for the referral of specimens for the performance of clinical laboratory services.

Like I said, Hair-brained scheme M.F.

These laws may impair their ability to run a for profit lab and KEEP their NYS license to test.

Here are a few more doozies

Section 34-2.4 Prohibited business practices by clinical laboratories.

(b) No clinical laboratory, its agent, employee or fiduciary, shall participate in the
division, transference, assignment, rebate, or splitting of fees with any health services
purveyor, or with another clinical laboratory, in relation to clinical laboratory services.

Looks like no deep discounts for the holidays in NYC….uh oh.

Section 34-2.6 Space.

(a) The rental of space by a clinical laboratory from a referring
health services purveyor, or an immediate family member of such purveyor, for more
than fair market value, or under circumstances where the rental amount is affected by
the volume or value of tests ordered by the health services purveyor shall be deemed
consideration given for referral of specimens for performance of clinical laboratory
services, and is prohibited.

No increased rent shenannigans either!

The rest of 34-2.6 is onerous as well. New York is Dedicated to preventing doctors and health care facilities, including labs from engaging in what other business may call standard operating procedure. Why? It may jeopardize the public health….

Section 34-2.8 Professional courtesy.

The provision of clinical laboratory services by
a clinical laboratory for health services purveyors, their families, or their employees,
agents, or fiduciaries at a charge which is below the lower of the applicable Medicare
fee schedule amount or the national limitation amount as defined by the Medicare
program for such services is consideration given for referral of specimens for
performance of clinical laboratory services, and is prohibited.

Looks like the Beth Israel Deaconess program with naviGENICS is a no no as well………

Perhaps the biggest issue comes in the prepared reports…….

Section 34-2.11 Recall letters and reporting of test results.

(a) A clinical laboratory shall not communicate to a patient of a referring health
services purveyor that a clinical laboratory test, including, but not limited to a Pap
smear, is or will be due to be performed, or that a visit to the health services purveyor
for diagnosis or treatment is or will be due. A clinical laboratory shall not prepare such
communication for the health services purveyor to send, or otherwise facilitate the
preparation or sending of such communication by the health services purveyor. Such
communication or its facilitation shall be deemed consideration given for referral of
specimens for performance of clinical laboratory services, and is prohibited.

What does this mean? Any New York State resident who receives a doctor ordered naviGENICS health compass cannot receive direct communication of these results.

NOR can Navigenics customize a report for an ordering set of physicians in NYS. Which the physician just spits out at time of follow up…….

What this can mean is one thing and one thing only……

Navigenics is about to go into the clinical business. With a different name and a different company. They will work together in synchrony with the Navigenics lab team and provide that they deem to be “personalized medicine” But what will be nothing more than Medicine with a personal genomics boondoggle…

Real personalized medicine includes patient pedigrees. Who knows, maybe they will do this?

The Sherpa Says: Not a bright move coming into NYC without investigating what it entailed. I hope someone did their homework and has found a “loophole” Because otherwise, no doctor in their right mind is going to order your tests…..for now……

Gotta Love It. Even the daycare…….


So the other day I go to pick up my oldest and the businesswoman who runs the show said to me “I have a question” I quickly see her Time Magazine with the cover which asks “Can we change our genes”


I immediately launch into a diatribe about epigenetics. The current state of epigenetics is even murkier than micro RNAs. I basically go on a rant and at the end she says “So can those cigarettes I smoked as a kid screw up my grandson?”

OMFG!!! This is why I hate TIME magazine. AND the lay press, AND the secondary education system in this country…AND………

Ok, here is the real take on Epigenetics. It is a control system, plain and simple, just like these RNAs and whatever else may control t he rate at which DNA does its dance.

Monogenetic disease importance is pretty clear….

Gene Broken (of important protein/etc) + No Repair = Disease Phenotype

But when you can compensate with other genes, or even multiple copies of the same gene or EVEN by upregulating similar genes to carry the load, you have a different story. Which is the story that you will soon hear being told.

The reason our organism exists here is because:

1. We repair our DNA damage pretty well, when we don’t we die, usually of cancer
2. We have redundancy mechanisms which, we will find out have epigenetic control
3. We pass these adaptations on to our kin in multiple ways through behavior as well as, ribonucleic acids, as well as methylation and acetylation and……G-d only knows

Do we have any idea how the “F” all of this works. No, which is why I beg all of you hungry reporters working as freelance or as staff reporters for the will known as Time, please stop hyping “the NEXT BIG THING”

God Damn now I am gonna have to deflate the epigenetics balloon too????

Pretty soon everyone will be saying, WE HAVE A RIGHT TO A PROPER EPIGENTICALLY MODIFIED GENOME! I can see it now…….

The Sherpa Says: How about extra methylation causing cancer? How about low methylation ALSO causing cancer? Don’t believe me? Pub Med it…….

Personal Genomics Flop…..big Belly Flop!


Daniel and Dan get quoted in an article in the Times yesterday and I am happy for them. It just goes to show how bloggers in this space ultimately shape the space.

That being said, everyone is left wondering “Where in the hell do we go from here in Personal Genomics?”

Well, I know where we are going in Personalized Medicine. PGx.

But as for personal genomics, the path is less clear. First we have to be honest about a few things.

1. Your genome is essentially worthless right now
2. We don’t understand what the hell most of the SNPs and CNVs mean in the genome
3. In an economic downturn, very few people will buy this, no matter how cool it looks.
4. Don’t believe me? How does Time’s Invention of the Year ONLY GET 30,000 (if you believe) customers. How many iPhones sold after the listing in 2008?
5. Things we are certain of in the genome add very little to life planning or healthcare.

Now, if we can overcome those things we have to ask ourselves. Is this a software play or a genome database play. If this is a software investment……

1. Is the software being created that valuable?
2. Can you patent or create a moat around the analytical tools that were created by these companies, or are the tools just rehashing of other tools that exist
3. Does Prometheus ruin the ability to patent these tools?
4. Are these tools accurate and valuable? Ask J Craig fellas….
5. Will the lessons learned justify the investment? At least a few hundred million USD people!

Well, let’s say it is NOT a software play, it is a genome database play.

1. How many people does it take to have a valuable database.
2. Is the database a legal liability worth the risk?
3. Will anyone want to buy the database?
4. Can there be a free database which will be more valuable than the “for sale” database
5. Can the database be curated and annotated easily?

So, after the million dollar open bars and zeppelins and celebs we are left with some real hard questions. Which is why I am very unclear as to the future of this “industry”

Is this really an industry all of its own? Or is this just a rehash of facebook?

Do you remember that fat kid? You know the one who said “Hey look at me! I am gonna make a HUGE SPLASH!”

Well, guess what porky, huge splash made……….

Now how in the hell does that SORE RED BELLY FEEL?

The Sherpa Says: A lot of pain and suffering may ultimately in the end prove worthless and the ripples may die…….Only to have some other fatso cause waves later on……..